The rate at which Britain changes over to electricity in road transport from petroleum is one the verge, and by the end of ten years, it will have a positive impact on the use of oil. During the first quarter of this year (2020), Ultra-low emissions cars (ULEVs) recorded approximately 7% of all the modern vehicles registered in Britain. The number marks a high increase from 2% in the years 2018 and 2019.
The majority of ULEVs (battery-electric and plug-in hybrid cars, using less hydrogen fuel) produce fewer grams of carbon dioxide from the tailpipe for every kilometer traveled.
Currently, there are over 280,000 ultra-low emissions vehicles registered in the market. The figure records an increase from 100,000 in the past three years (2017).
In March of this year, the numbers of battery electric vehicles registered were 110,000, and that of the plug-in hybrid was 155,000. Fewer numbers of cars use the ULEV technologies.
The reduction in tailpipe emissions, the support regulation, is slowly moving from hybrids to pure battery-electric vehicles. Formerly, the number of electric cars registered has surpassed the combinations (2019). Therefore, it results to further electrification of the fleet in the coming years.
Still, the percentage registered by the Ultra-low emission vehicles is low (1%) out of the 32 million cars registered, although the divisions tripled since 2017.
The implication is that the number of Ultra-low emission vehicles registered in the market is increasing.
If Ultra-low emission vehicles manage to become popular in a large number of the population after a logistic curve, then they will register approximately 25% of all the new registrations in the next seven years, 50% by 2031 and 75% in the next 15 years.
The meant transformation to electric cars powered by electricity is widely unswerving with the stated anticipations of the government of making sure that 50%-70% of all vehicles are ultra-low by the time 2030 is here with us.
In the last two years, The Department of Transport was the one that set the goal in the main strategy paper (“The Road to Zero: Next steps towards cleaner transport and conveying our industrial strategy” 9 July 2018).
The schedule for the evolution is regular, as well as following the strategy announcement made by the government.
As much as the ULEVs anticipate attaining the 50% threshold by 2031, it would not be possible because the older vehicles are still in service.